Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/153104 
Year of Publication: 
2006
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 670
Publisher: 
European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
Given that savings behaviour and worker productivity have strong life-cycle components and given that demographic profiles vary across countries, population age structure should be linked to differences in levels of economic development. In this paper we measure the economic importance of age structure variation for the global economy. We find that even after adjusting for country-specific effects, demographic maturation has been associated with nearly half of the evolution of global per-capita GDP since 1960. We also find that age structure differences can account for just over half of the variation in worldwide per capita GDP (i.e. the lack of sigma convergence) observed since 1960. Taken as a whole, these results complement recent theoretical and empirical work on the importance of population size and economic development and reinforce empirical work linking mature demographic age structures with faster cross-country economic growth rates.
Subjects: 
age structure
cross-country growth
life cycle savings model
JEL: 
J13
J22
J24
O11
O40
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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