Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/142042 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2011
Citation: 
[Journal:] CBN Journal of Applied Statistics [ISSN:] 2476-8472 [Volume:] 02 [Issue:] 1 [Publisher:] The Central Bank of Nigeria [Place:] Abuja [Year:] 2011 [Pages:] 31-50
Publisher: 
The Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja
Abstract: 
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the effects of global warming on Nigerian agriculture and estimation of the determinants of adaptation to climate change. Data used for this study are from both secondary and primary sources. The set of secondary sources of data helped to examine the coverage of the three scenarios (1971-1980; 1981-1990 and 1991-2000). The primary data set consists of 900 respondents' but only 850 cases were useful. This study analyzed determinants of farm-level climate adaptation measures using a Multinomial choice and stochastic-simulation model to investigate the effects of rapid climatic change on grain production and the human population in Nigeria. The model calculates the production, consumption and storage of grains under different climate scenarios over a 10-year scenery. In most scenarios, either an optimistic baseline annual increase of agricultural output of 1.85% or a more pessimistic appraisal of 0.75% was used. The rate of natural increase of the human population exclusive of excess hunger-related deaths was set at 1.65% per year. Results indicated that hunger-related deaths could increase if grain productions do not keep pace with population growth in an unfavourable climatic environment. However, Climate change adaptations have significant impact on farm productivity.
Subjects: 
Climate change
Adaptation
Economic consequences
Farm level productivity
Average Rainfall
Nigeria
Document Type: 
Article

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.