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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2016
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
KIT Working Paper Series in Economics No. 80
Verlag: 
Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT), Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre (ECON), Karlsruhe
Zusammenfassung: 
In practice, multivariate dependencies between extreme risks are often only assessed in a pairwise way. We propose a test for detecting situations when such pairwise measures are inadequate and give incomplete results. This occurs when a significant portion of the multivariate dependence structure in the tails is of higher dimension than two. Our test statistic is based on a decomposition of the stable tail dependence function describing multivariate tail dependence. The asymptotic properties of the test are provided and a bootstrap based finite sample version of the test is proposed. A simulation study documents good size and power properties of the test including settings with time-series components and factor models. In an application to stock indices for non-crisis times, pairwise tail models seem appropriate for global markets while the test finds them not admissible for the tightly interconnected European market. From 2007/08 on, however, higher order dependencies generally increase and require a multivariate tail model in all cases.
Schlagwörter: 
decomposition of multivariate tail dependence
multivariate extreme values
stable tail dependence function
extreme dependence modeling
JEL: 
C01
C46
C58
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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