Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/98417 
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
Diskussionspapier No. 138
Publisher: 
Helmut-Schmidt-Universität - Universität der Bundeswehr Hamburg, Fächergruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre, Hamburg
Abstract: 
Using examples for each type of model, we consider dynamic games, differential games, and simulation as alternative ways of extending the standard static economic model of conflict to study patterns of conflict dynamics. It turns out that computational requirements and theoretical difficulties impose tight limits on what can be achieved using the first two approaches. In particular, we are unable to study dynamic military conflict as a series of 'battles' that are resolved individually. A simulation study based on a new model of adaptive, boundedly rational decision making, however, is shown not to be subject to this limitation. Plausible patterns of conflict dynamics emerge, which we can link to both historical conflict and standard tenets of military theory.
Subjects: 
Conflict
dynamics
contest success functions
differential games
dynamic games
simulation
emergence of war
JEL: 
C72
D74
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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