Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/27159 
Kompletter Metadatensatz
DublinCore-FeldWertSprache
dc.contributor.authorPope, Robinen
dc.contributor.authorSelten, Reinharden
dc.contributor.authorKube, Sebastianen
dc.contributor.authorKaiser, Johannesen
dc.contributor.authorvon Hagen, Jürgenen
dc.date.accessioned2008-01-23-
dc.date.accessioned2009-08-06T12:40:51Z-
dc.date.available2009-08-06T12:40:51Z-
dc.date.issued2007-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/27159-
dc.description.abstractOpinion is divided on whether it is better to have a single world money or variable exchange rates. Pope, Selten and von Hagen (2003) propose that fresh light would be shed via an analysis that allows for seven complexity impacts on the exchange rate that are underplayed (where not entirely absent) from current analyses: 1) the role of official sector, including its central bank; 2) the numerous official and private sector goals; 3) the disparate degrees of market power of different sorts of private agents; 4) the documentation that essentially all shocks to the exchange rate are generated by human decisions; 5) the non-maximising heuristics that in the complex economy agents use; 6) heterogenous beliefs. This paper analyses a closed form game theoretic solution of version 1 of a model that combines impacts 1 to 4 with the conventional finance assumption that all agents maximise their utility. Impact 1) precludes private agents being able to destabilise the exchange rate against the cooperation of the central banks required by the game theoretic solution. Impact 4) excludes random events and other exogenous shocks such as meteors falling from the sky. The rational maximising assumption in turn precludes all other sources of shocks and thus any need for a variable exchange rate to equilibrate after shocks. We then modify version 1 of our model substituting for the maximising assumption impacts 5 to 7, impacts that allow shocks from humans to be consistently incorporated. We do so by means of an experimental investigation which indicates that central bankers less than fully cooperate, leaving scope for private speculators to support their preferred currency. From the viewpoint of the game theoretic equilibrium, the resultant exchange rate changes render equilibrium unspecified. A single world money avoids disruptive exchange rate changes from less than fully cooperating central banks, exchange rate changes caused by central bank conflicts and that cannot be classified as equilibrating.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aUniversity of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE) |cBonnen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aBonn Econ Discussion Papers |x18/2007en
dc.subject.jelF31en
dc.subject.jelF33en
dc.subject.jelB40en
dc.subject.jelB59en
dc.subject.jelC79en
dc.subject.jelC90en
dc.subject.jelC91en
dc.subject.jelC92en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordcentral banken
dc.subject.keywordcooperationen
dc.subject.keywordconflicten
dc.subject.keywordexchange rateen
dc.subject.keywordexperimenten
dc.subject.keywordmarket poweren
dc.subject.keywordheuristicsen
dc.subject.keywordheterogenous beliefsen
dc.subject.keywordpersonalityen
dc.subject.keywordinterpersonal dynamicsen
dc.subject.keywordfriendshipen
dc.subject.keywordcomplexen
dc.subject.keyworddestabilising speculatorsen
dc.subject.keywordirrational central bankersen
dc.titleExchange Rate Determination: A Model of the Decisive Role of Central Bank Cooperation and Conflict-
dc.type|aWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn557267684en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen
dc.identifier.repecRePEc:zbw:bonedp:182007-

Datei(en):
Datei
Größe
720.97 kB





Publikationen in EconStor sind urheberrechtlich geschützt.