Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/317640 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2023
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] Journal of Business Economics and Management (JBEM) [ISSN:] 2029-4433 [Volume:] 24 [Issue:] 3 [Year:] 2023 [Pages:] 594-613
Verlag: 
Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Vilnius
Zusammenfassung: 
The development and availability of information technology and the possibility of deep integration of internal IT systems with external ones gives a powerful opportunity to analyze data online based on external data providers. Recently, machine learning algorithms play a significant role in predicting different processes. This research aims to apply several machine learning algorithms to predict high frequent daily hotel occupancy at a Chinese hotel. Five machine learning models (bagged CART, bagged MARS, XGBoost, random forest, SVM) were optimized and applied for predicting occupancy. All models are compared using different model accuracy measures and with an ARDL model chosen as a benchmark for comparison. It was found that the bagged CART model showed the most relevant results (R2 > 0.50) in all periods, but the model could not beat the traditional ARDL model. Thus, despite the original use of machine learning algorithms in solving regression tasks, the models used in this research could have been more effective than the benchmark model. In addition, the variables' importance was used to check the hypothesis that the Baidu search index and its components can be used in machine learning models to predict hotel occupancy.
Schlagwörter: 
bagged CART
bagged MARS
hotel occupancy
random forest
SVM
XGBoost
JEL: 
L10
L80
C10
C40
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