Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/128325 
Year of Publication: 
2015
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 5621
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
This paper analyzes the impact of aging on capital accumulation and welfare in a country with a sizable unfunded social security system. Using a two-period overlapping generation model with potentially endogenous retirement decisions, the paper shows that the type of aging, i.e. declining fertility or increasing longevity, and the type of unfunded social security system, i.e. defined contributions or defined benefits, are important in understanding this impact. Moreover, the analysis provides a refinement to common policy recommendations that favor eliminating mandatory early retirement regulations in aging societies: aging leads to a greater increase in welfare when it is driven by an increasing longevity and the retirement age is unregulated. In comparison, when aging is driven by a decreasing fertility rate, a mandatory retirement system fosters more savings and, thus, income and welfare, in a closed economy with unfunded pension system based on defined contributions.
Subjects: 
aging
public finance sustainability
social security
JEL: 
H20
F42
H80
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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