Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/97004 
Year of Publication: 
2010
Series/Report no.: 
Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers No. 9/2010
Publisher: 
Austrian Academy of Sciences (ÖAW), Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Vienna
Abstract: 
Conventional R&D-based growth theory suggests that productivity growth is positively correlated with population size or population growth, an implication which is hard to see in the data. Here we integrate micro-founded fertility and schooling into an otherwise standard R&D-based growth model. We then show how a Beckerian child quality-quantity trade-off explains why higher growth of productivity and income per capita are associated with lower population growth. The medium-run prospects for future economic growth - when fertility is going to be below replacement level in virtually all fully developed countries - are thus much better than predicted by conventional R&D-based growth theory.
Subjects: 
Endogenous growth
R&D
declining population
fertility
schooling
human capital
postmodern society
post-transitional fertility
JEL: 
J13
J24
O10
O30
O40
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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