Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/96286
Authors: 
Arndt, Channing
Schlosser, Adam
Strzepek, Kenneth
Thurlow, James
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
WIDER Working Paper 2014/013
Abstract: 
Malawi confronts a development imperative in a context of rising temperatures and deep uncertainty about precipitation trends. We evaluate the implications of climate change for overall growth and development prospects to 2050. We focus on three impact channels: agriculture, road infrastructure, and hydropower generation while accounting explicitly for the uncertainty in climate forecasts. We find that climate change is unlikely to substantially slow overall economic growth over the next couple of decades. However, climate change implications become more pronounced over time and may become substantially more severe after 2050, especially if effective global mitigation policies fail to materialize.
Subjects: 
Malawi
climate change
growth
development
JEL: 
O1
O5
Q54
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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