Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/89310
Authors: 
Ferraresi, Tommaso
Roventini, Andrea
Fagiolo, Giorgio
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
LEM Working Paper Series 2013/03
Abstract: 
In the present work we investigate how the state of credit markets non-linearly affects the impact of fiscal policies. We estimate a Threshold Vector Autoregression (TVAR) model on U.S quarterly data for the period 1984-2010. We employ the spread between BAA-rated corporate bond yield and 10-year treasury constant maturity rate as a proxy for credit conditions. We find that the response of output to fiscal policy shocks are stronger and more persistent when the economy is in the tight credit regime. The fiscal multipliers are abundantly and persistently higher than one when firms face increasing financing costs, whereas they are feebler and often lower than one in the normal credit regime. On the normative side, our results suggest policy makers to carefully plan fiscal policy measures according to the state of credit markets.
Subjects: 
fiscal policy
threshold vector autoregression (TVAR)
non-linear models
impulse-response functions
fiscal multipliers
credit frictions
financial accelerator
JEL: 
J32
E32
E44
E62
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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