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Autoren: 
Agnello, Luca
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Sousa, Ricardo M.
Datum: 
2013
Reihe/Nr.: 
DIW Discussion Papers 1339
Zusammenfassung: 
Using a panel of annual data for 20 countries we show that synchronized fiscal consolidation (stimulus) programmes in different countries make their business cycles more closely linked, especially in the case of fiscal adjustments lasting 2 or 3 years. We also find: (i) little evidence of decoupling when an inflation targeting regime is unilaterally adopted; (ii) an increase in business cycle synchronization when countries fix their exchange rates and become members of a monetary union; (iii) a positive effect of bilateral trade on the synchronization of business cycles.
Schlagwörter: 
fiscal consolidation
fiscal stimulus
business cycle synchronization
JEL: 
C41
E62
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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