Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/88438
Authors: 
Hollmayr, Josef
Matthes, Christian
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
Discussion Paper, Deutsche Bundesbank 51/2013
Abstract: 
The recent crisis in the United States has often been associated with substantial amounts of policy uncertainty. In this paper we ask how uncertainty about fiscal policy affects the impact of fiscal policy changes on the economy when the government tries to counteract a deep recession. The agents in our model act as econometricians by estimating the policy rules for the different fiscal policy instruments, which include distortionary tax rates. Comparing the outcomes in our model to those under full-information rational expectations, we find that assuming that agents are not instantaneously aware of the new fiscal policy regime (or policy rule) in place leads to substantially more volatility in the short run and persistent differences in average outcomes.
Subjects: 
DSGE
Fiscal Policy
Learning
JEL: 
E32
D83
E62
ISBN: 
978-3-86558-991-0
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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