Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/86310
Authors: 
Hopfensitz, Astrid
van Winden, Frans
Year of Publication: 
2006
Series/Report no.: 
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 06-087/1
Abstract: 
From the viewpoint of the independence axiom of expected utility theory, an interesting empirical dynamic choice problem involves the presence of a “global risk,” that is, a chance of losing everything whichever safe or risky option is chosen. In this experimental study, participants have to allocate real money between a safe and a risky project. Treatment variable is the particular decision stage at which a global risk is resolved: (i) before the investment decision; (ii) after the investment decision, but before the resolution of the decision risk; (iii) after the resolution of the decision risk. The baseline treatment is without global risk. Our goal is to investigate the isolation effect and the principle of timing independence under the different timing options of the global risk. In addition, we examine the role played by anticipated and experienced emotions in the choice problem. Main findings are a violation of the isolation effect, and support for the principle of timing independence. Although behavior across the different global risk cases shows similarities, we observe clear differences in people’s affective responses. This may be responsible for the conflicting results observed in earlier experiments. Dependent on the timing of the global risk different combinations of anticipated and experienced emotions influence decision making.
Subjects: 
emotions
investment
global-risk
background risk
laboratory experiment
regret
anxiety
JEL: 
A12
C91
D81
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size
309.17 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.