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Autoren: 
Portrait, France
Alessie, Rob
Deeg, Dorly
Datum: 
2002
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper No. 02-120/3
Zusammenfassung: 
Disentangling age, period, and cohort effects in explaining health trends is crucial to assess future prevalences of health disorders. The identification problem -- age, period, and cohort effects are perfectly linearly related -- is tackled by modeling cohort and period effects using lifetime macro-indicators. This approach -- innovative in analyses on health trends -- handles theidentification problem and explains mechanisms underlying cohort and period effects. The modeling approach is compared with graphical and two-factors methods. The methods are applied on Dutch trends in functional limitations using data from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam. We argue that the modeling approach is a highly appropriate alternative. We find that theprevalence of functional limitations increases in the nineteen-nineties due to adverse cohort and period effects. Cohort effects are explained by hygienic and socio-economic conditions during childhood and period effects by restrictions in availability of health care services.
Schlagwörter: 
Age-Period-Cohort Analysis
Trends in Functional Limitations
Aging
JEL: 
I1
C4
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper
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