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Autoren: 
Entorf, Horst
Jamin, Gösta
Datum: 
2003
Reihe/Nr.: 
Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 127
Zusammenfassung: 
We estimate the impact of dollar changes on the value of German DAX corporations, using APT-modelling for the period 1977 - 1995. Several macroeconomic risk factors, including the dollar and a residual market factor representing the general market risk, are specified. The general notion is that the export-oriented German companies should benefit from increasing dollar values. We find time-varying dollar exposure presumably depending on the prevailing trade regime. Dollar sensitivity is positive as expected in periods with a positive trade balance, whereas it turns negative in periods with a negative trade balance (e.g., in the first half of the 1980s). APT-modelling simultaneously considers exchange rate exposure and risk-premia of macroeconomic risk factors, the latter also being unstable over time.
JEL: 
F31
G12
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper
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