Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/82676
Autor:innen: 
Alexius, Annika
Post, Erik
Datum: 
2005
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Working Paper No. 2005:10
Verlag: 
Uppsala University, Department of Economics, Uppsala
Zusammenfassung: 
If floating exchange rates stabilize shocks rather than create shocks, a country that joins a monetary union or fixes its exchange rate looses a stabilizing mechanism. We use a first difference structural VAR on trade weighted macroeconomic data to study the role of floating exchange rates for five small open economies with inflation targets. By including both domestic and foreign variables and using a combination of long and short-run restrictions, we identify asymmetric shocks more carefully than previous studies. Only in Sweden and Canada does the nominal exchange rate appreciate significantly in response to asymmetric demand shocks and depreciate to asymmetric supply shocks. Most exchange rate movements are caused by speculation and are not responses to fundamental shocks. However, these exchange rate shocks have negligible effects on output and inflation. Our findings indicate that exchange rates are neither stabilizing nor destabilizing but may be loosely characterized as disconnected from the rest of the economy.
Schlagwörter: 
Exchange rates
asymmetric shocks
structural VAR
JEL: 
F31
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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