Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/81013
Authors: 
Robinson, Sherman
Strzepek, Kenneth
Willenbockel, Dirk
Year of Publication: 
2011
Series/Report no.: 
WIDER Working Paper 2011/89
Abstract: 
This study links a multi-sectoral regionalized dynamic computable general equilibrium model of Ethiopia with a system of country-specific hydrology, crop, road and hydropower engineering models to simulate the economic impacts of climate change towards 2050. In the absence of externally funded policy-driven adaptation investments Ethiopia's GDP in the 2040s will be up to 10 percent below the counterfactual no-climate change baseline. Suitably scaled adaptation measures could restore aggregate welfare to baseline levels at a cost that is substantially lower than the welfare losses due to climate change.
Subjects: 
CGE analysis
global warming
growth
adaptation costs
development
JEL: 
Q54
O55
D58
C68
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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