Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80617
Authors: 
Crost, Benjamin
Felter, Joseph H.
Mansour, Hani
Rees, Daniel I.
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Paper 7469
Abstract: 
Previous studies have documented a positive association between election fraud and the intensity of civil conflict. It is not clear, however, whether this association is causal or due to unobserved institutional or cultural factors. This paper examines the relationship between election fraud and post-election violence in the 2007 Philippine mayoral elections. Using the density test developed by McCrary (2008), we find evidence that incumbents were able to win tightly contested elections through fraud. In addition, we show that narrow incumbent victories were associated with an increase in post-election casualties, which is consistent with the hypothesis that election fraud causes conflict. We conduct several robustness tests and find no evidence that incumbent victories increased violence for reasons unrelated to fraud.
Subjects: 
election fraud
conflict
JEL: 
D72
D73
D74
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size
355.88 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.