Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/78320
Authors: 
Niermann, Stefan
Year of Publication: 
2001
Series/Report no.: 
Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät, Universität Hannover 247
Abstract (Translated): 
In this paper models for the prediction of matches in the German Soccer Bundesliga are estimated. In a frst step the expected difference of the number of goals is estimated on the basis of estimated abilities of the teams. Here, a focus lies on the necessity of robust parameter estimation. In a second step the probabilities for home team wins/losses and ties are estimated using a Bayesian updating procedure.
Subjects: 
Fußball-Bundesliga
Prognose
Bayesian Updating
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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