Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/78063 
Year of Publication: 
2002
Series/Report no.: 
CFS Working Paper No. 2002/15
Publisher: 
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
A number of recent studies have suggested that activist stabilization policy rules responding to inflation and the output gap can attain simultaneously a low and stable rate of inflation as well as a high degree of economic stability. The foremost example of such a strategy is the policy rule proposed by Taylor (1993). In this paper, I demonstrate that the policy settings that would have been suggested by this rule during the 1970s, based on real-time data published by the U.S. Commerce Department, do not greatly differ from actual policy during this period. To the extent macroeconomic outcomes during this period are considered unfavorable, this raises questions regarding the usefulness of this strategy for monetary policy. To the extent the Taylor rule is believed to provide a reasonable guide to monetary policy, this finding raises questions regarding earlier critiques of monetary policy during the 1970s.
Subjects: 
Great Inflation
Taylor Rule
Output Gap
Real-time Data
JEL: 
E3
E52
E58
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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