Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/76807
Authors: 
Ganioğlu, Aytül
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
Economics Discussion Papers 2013-35
Abstract: 
In this study, the main purpose is to analyze the factors that stimulate the probability of financial crises. The period of analysis covers the years of 1970-2008, thereby including the impact of recent global financial crisis. The analysis aims to make a comparison for the developed and developing country financial crises separately. Panel logit estimation technique is used for the analysis which includes 24 developed and 26 developing countries, amounting to 50 countries as total. According to estimation results, current account deficit and credit expansion carry the risk of raising the probability of financial crises significantly both in advanced countries and developing countries. More specifically, credit expansions in developed countries and current account deficits in developing countries raise the probability of financial crises more strongly.
Subjects: 
financial crisis
predictors of financial crisis
rapid credit expansion
current account deficit
JEL: 
F41
E51
G01
C33
Creative Commons License: 
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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