Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/76462
Year of Publication: 
2004
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 1167
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
Using various statistical procedures, estimates about the size of the shadow economy in 110 developing, transition and OECD countries are presented. The average size of the shadow economy (in percent of official GDP) over 1999-2000 in developing countries is 41 percent, in transition countries 38 percent and in OECD countries 18.0 percent. An increasing burden of taxation and social security contributions combined with rising state regulatory activities are the driving forces for the growth and size of the shadow economy. If the shadow economy increases by one percent the annual growth rate of the “official” GDP of a developing country (of an industrialized and/or transition country) decreases by 0.6 percent (increases by 0.8 and 1.0 respectively).
Subjects: 
shadow economy
interaction of the shadow economy with the official one
tax burden
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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