Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/74487
Authors: 
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Ali, Faek Menla
Spagnolo, Nicola
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
DIW Discussion Papers 1296
Abstract: 
This paper examines the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on different components of portfolio flows, namely equity and bond flows, as well as the dynamic linkages between exchange rate volatility and the variability of these two types of flows. Specifically, a bivariate GARCH-BEKK-in-mean model is estimated using bilateral data for the US vis-à-vis Australia, the UK, Japan, Canada, the euro area, and Sweden over the period 1988:01- 2011:12. The results indicate that the effect of exchange rate uncertainty on equity flows is negative in the euro area, the UK and Sweden, and positive in Australia, whilst it is negative in all countries except Canada (where it is positive) in the case of bond flows. Under the assumption of risk aversion, this suggests that exchange rate uncertainty induces a home bias and causes investors to reduce their financing activities to maximise returns and minimise exposure to uncertainty. Furthermore, since exchange rate volatility and the variability of flows are interlinked, exchange rate or credit controls on these flows can be used to pursue economic and financial stability.
Subjects: 
Exchange rate uncertainty
Equity flows
Bond flows
Causality-in-variance
JEL: 
F31
F32
G15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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