Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/69989
Authors: 
Mohaddes, Kamiar
Pesaran, M. Hashem
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper: Empirical and Theoretical Methods 4118
Abstract: 
This paper examines the impact of oil revenues on the Iranian economy over the past hundred years, spanning the period 1908-2010. It is shown that although oil has been produced in Iran over a very long period, its importance in the Iranian economy was relatively small up until the early 1960s. It is argued that oil income has been both a blessing and a curse. Oil revenues when managed appropriately are a blessing, but their volatility (which in Iran is much higher than oil price volatility) can have adverse effects on real output, through excessively high and persistent levels of inflation. Lack of appropriate institutions and policy mechanisms which act as shock absorbers in the face of high levels of oil revenue volatility have also become a drag on real output. In order to promote growth, policies should be devised to control inflation; to serve as shock absorbers negating the adverse effects of oil revenue volatility; to reduce rent seeking activities; and to prevent excessive dependence of government finances on oil income.
Subjects: 
oil price volatility
oil income
rent seeking
inflation
macroeconomic policy
JEL: 
E02
N15
Q32
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.