Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/69407
Authors: 
Jenkins, Stephen P.
Van Kerm, Philippe
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
Discussion Paper Series, Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 7071
Abstract: 
The current poverty rate and the persistent poverty rate are both included in the EU's portfolio of primary indicators of social inclusion. We show that there is a near-linear relationship between these two indicators across EU countries drawing on empirical analysis of EU-SILC and ECHP data. Using a prototypical model of poverty dynamics, we explain how the near-linear relationship arises and show how the model can be used to predict persistent poverty rates from current poverty information. In the light of the results, we discuss whether the EU's persistent poverty measure and the design of EU-SILC longitudinal data collection require modification.
Subjects: 
persistent poverty
income poverty
poverty
EU-SILC
Europe
JEL: 
I32
D31
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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