Lehmann, Paul Brenck, Miriam Gebhardt, Oliver Schaller, Sven Süßbauer, Elisabeth
Year of Publication:
UFZ Discussion Paper No. 19/2012
Helmholtz-Zentrum für Umweltforschung (UFZ), Leipzig
This paper analyzes barriers and opportunities for effective adaptation planning in cities. In particular, we focus on the preparation and adoption of adaptation strategies and action plans by urban planners. To guide the discussion, we develop a two-tier framework of variables influencing decision-making, which is based on bounded rationality. We argue that whether or not urban planners take action to foster adaptation to climate change depends on three first-tier variables: information, incentives and resources. In addition, we point out that each of these variables may itself be a function of a set of underlying second-tier variables, including the natural and socio-economic environment, actor-specific characteristics of the decision-maker, and the institutional environment. Within this framework, we specify barriers and opportunities for effective adaptation planning as hampering or promoting characteristics of these first- and second-tier variables. We apply and test the framework within the context of four case studies carried out in Lima (Peru), Santiago (Chile), Berlin and Sangerhausen (both Germany).