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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2012
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Working Paper No. 92
Verlag: 
Osnabrück University, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrück
Zusammenfassung: 
The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an alternative explanation: the increasing share of senior lenders (IMF, ECB, EFSF, etc.) in the total outstanding government debt of countries in crisis. We illustrate the close relationship between senior tranche lending - including Target2 balances - and recent developments in the sovereign bond market, both graphically and in a formal regression analysis.
Schlagwörter: 
Government bond spreads
Eurozone
senior tranche lending
multiple equilibria
sovereign debt crisis
Target
JEL: 
F34
G12
H81
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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