Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/64530 
Year of Publication: 
2011
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper No. 688
Publisher: 
University of California, Economics Department, Santa Cruz, CA
Abstract: 
This paper studies the cross-country variation of the fiscal stimulus and the exchange rate adjustment propagated by the global crisis of 2008-9, identifying the role of economic structure in accounting for the heterogeneity of response. We find that greater de facto fiscal space prior to the global crisis and lower trade openness were associated with a higher fiscal stimulus/GDP during 2009-2010 (where the de facto fiscal space is the inverse of the average tax-years it would take to repay the public debt). Lowering the 2006 public debt/average tax base from the level of low-income countries (5.94) down to the average level of the Euro minus the Euro-area peripheral countries (1.97), was associated with a larger crisis stimulus in 2009-11 of 2.78 GDP percentage points. Joint estimation of fiscal stimuli and exchange rate depreciations indicates that higher trade openness was associated with a smaller fiscal stimulus and a higher depreciation rate during the crisis. Overall, the results are in line with the predictions of the neo-Keynesian open-economy model.
Subjects: 
fiscal space
fiscal stimulus
trade openness
JEL: 
E62
F42
O23
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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