Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/64204
Year of Publication: 
2012
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper No. 2012-02
Publisher: 
University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics, Amherst, MA
Abstract: 
Building on Marx's insights in Chapter 25, Volume I of Capital, an augmented version of the cyclical profit squeeze (CPS) theory offers a plausible explanation of macroeconomic fluctuations under capitalism. The pattern of dynamic interactions that emerges from a 3-variable (profit share, unemployment rate and nonresidential fixed investment) vector autoregression estimated with quarterly data for the postwar U.S. economy is consistent with the CPS theory for the regulated (1949Q1 - 1975Q1) as well as for the neoliberal periods (starting in 1980 or in 1985). Hence, the CPS mechanism seems to be in operation even under neoliberalism.
Subjects: 
cyclical profit squeeze
vector autoregression
JEL: 
B51
C22
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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