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dc.contributor.authorHutchison, Michael M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorSengupta, Rajeswarien_US
dc.contributor.authorSingh, Nirvikaren_US
dc.description.abstractA key challenge for macroeconomic policy in open economies is how to simultaneously manage exchange rates, interest rates and capital account openness - the trilemma. This paper calculates a trilemma index for India and investigates its evolution over time. We find that financial integration has increased markedly after the mid-2000s, with corresponding limitations on monetary independence and exchange rate stability. This tradeoff has been mitigated, however, with the rise of international reserves as a partially independent instrument of macroeconomic policy. In addition, we confirm that the weighted sum of the three indexes adds up to a constant, validating the notion that a rise in one trilemma variable should be traded-off with a drop of the weighted sum of the other two. Finally, we consider the implications of changes in the trilemma index for macroeconomic outcomes. We find some evidence that greater financial integration and corresponding loss of monetary autonomy and exchange rate stability has influenced inflation and inflation volatility, though not in a consistent manner.en_US
dc.publisher|aSanta Cruz Inst. for International Economics |cSanta Cruz, Calif.en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aWorking Papers, Santa Cruz Institute for International Economics |x10-09en_US
dc.subject.keywordFinancial trilemmaen_US
dc.subject.keywordIndian economyen_US
dc.subject.keywordInternational reservesen_US
dc.subject.keywordForeign exchange interventionen_US
dc.subject.keywordMonetary policyen_US
dc.subject.keywordCapital account opening.en_US
dc.titleIndia's trilemma: Financial liberalization, exchange rates and monetary policyen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US

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