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Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2004
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Memorandum No. 2004,23
Verlag: 
University of Oslo, Department of Economics, Oslo
Zusammenfassung: 
I study to what extent voters are forward looking and how future income affects the voting decision. Particularly, I estimate the effect of both transitory and permanent income on preferences for different parties using a panel data set from the Norwegian Election Study. To construct a proxy for permanent income, I use stated expectations about the future economic situation and an estimate of how this affects future income. It turns out that once we include the proxy for permanent income, transitory income has no explanatory power on voting behaviour, supporting the hypothesis of forward looking voting. As expected, a high expected permanent income leads to Conservative voting and a low income to Socialist voting.
Schlagwörter: 
Voting
permanent income
redistribution
JEL: 
C25
D31
D72
D91
H11
H53
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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