Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/59001 
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dc.contributor.authorBöckers, Veiten
dc.contributor.authorHeimeshoff,Ulrichen
dc.contributor.authorMüller, Andreaen
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-13-
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-15T13:49:33Z-
dc.date.available2012-06-15T13:49:33Z-
dc.date.issued2012-
dc.identifier.isbn978-3-86304-055-0en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/59001-
dc.description.abstractThe focus of this paper is the empirical evaluation of the German Accelerated Vehicle Retirement program, that was implemented in January 2009 to stimulate automobile consumption. To adress this question a monthly dataset of new car registrations owned by private consumers from March 2001 until October 2011 is created. Especially small and upper small car segments seem to have profited from the scrappage program as they make up 84% of the newly registered cars during the program. Using uni- and multivariate time-series models counterfactual car registrations are estimated for vehicles from the small and upper small car segment. The results suggest that the policy has been successful in creating additional demand for new cars during the policy period. We also find a small contraction in the year after the end of the policy for the small market segment. For upper small cars the pull-forward effect could only be identified for the last quarter of the ex-post period. So in summary, the overall effect of the German car scrappage program is positive for the two market segments.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aHeinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE) |cDüsseldorfen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aDICE Discussion Paper |x56en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.stwKraftfahrzeugen
dc.subject.stwSchrotten
dc.subject.stwSubventionen
dc.subject.stwWirkungsanalyseen
dc.subject.stwPersonenkraftwagenen
dc.subject.stwNachfrageen
dc.subject.stwMarktsegmentierungen
dc.subject.stwDeutschlanden
dc.titlePull-forward effects in the German car scrappage scheme: A time series approach-
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn717563790en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen
dc.identifier.repecRePEc:zbw:dicedp:56en

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