Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/56388 
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dc.contributor.authorBerlemann, Michaelen
dc.contributor.authorEnkelmann, Sörenen
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-21-
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-29T09:24:30Z-
dc.date.available2012-03-29T09:24:30Z-
dc.date.issued2012-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/56388-
dc.description.abstractEven after four decades of research it remains unclear, whether presidential popularity depends on the state of the economy. While about half of all studies for the United States find a significant effect of unemployment and inflation on presidential popularity, the others do not. Additional economic issues have rarely been studied. In this survey article we study the likely causes for the inconclusive findings. While various factors have an influence on the results, especially the choice of the sample period is of crucial importance. While in the very long run we find unemployment, inflation and the budget deficit to have a robust effect on presidential approval, this holds not true for shorter sub-periods. This result might indicate that the popularity function is instable over time. However, the findings might also be taken as an indication that the most often employed linear estimation approach is inadequate. Further research on these issues is necessary.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aCenter for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo) |cMunichen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aCESifo Working Paper |x3761en
dc.subject.jelD72en
dc.subject.jelH11en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordpresidential popularityen
dc.subject.keywordapprovalen
dc.subject.keywordunemploymenten
dc.subject.keywordinflationen
dc.subject.stwStaatsoberhaupten
dc.subject.stwÖffentliche Meinungen
dc.subject.stwWirtschaftslageen
dc.subject.stwArbeitslosigkeiten
dc.subject.stwInflationen
dc.subject.stwUSAen
dc.titleThe economic determinants of U.S. presidential approval: A survey-
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn688923801en
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen

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