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dc.contributor.authorBazilian, Morganen_US
dc.contributor.authorNussbaumer, Patricken_US
dc.contributor.authorRogner, Hans-Holgeren_US
dc.contributor.authorBrew-Hammond, Abeekuen_US
dc.contributor.authorFoster, Vivienen_US
dc.contributor.authorPachauri, Shonalien_US
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, Ericen_US
dc.contributor.authorHowells, Marken_US
dc.contributor.authorNiyongabo, Philippeen_US
dc.contributor.authorMusaba, Lawrenceen_US
dc.contributor.authorÓ Gallachóir, Brianen_US
dc.contributor.authorRadka, Marken_US
dc.contributor.authorKammen, Daniel M.en_US
dc.description.abstractIn order to reach a goal of universal access to modern energy services in Africa by 2030, consideration of various electricity sector pathways is required to help inform policy-makers and investors, and help guide power system design. To that end, and building on existing tools and analysis, we present several high-level, transparent, and economy-wide scenarios for the sub-Saharan African power sector to 2030. We construct these simple scenarios against the backdrop of historical trends and various interpretations of universal access. They are designed to provide the international community with an indication of the overall scale of the effort required. We find that most existing projections, using typical long-term forecasting methods for power planning, show roughly a threefold increase in installed generation capacity occurring by 2030, but more than a tenfold increase would likely be required to provide for full access - even at relatively modest levels of electricity consumption. This equates to approximately a 13% average annual growth rate, compared to a historical one (in the last two decades) of 1.7%.en_US
dc.publisher|aFondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) |cMilanoen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aNota di lavoro // Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei: Energy: Resources and Markets |x68.2011en_US
dc.subject.keywordEnergy Accessen_US
dc.subject.keywordPower System Planningen_US
dc.subject.keywordSub-Saharan Africaen_US
dc.titleEnergy access scenarios to 2030 for the power sector in Sub-Saharan Africaen_US
dc.typeWorking Paperen_US

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