Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/51312
Authors: 
Batool, Irem
Sieg, Gernot
Year of Publication: 
2009
Series/Report no.: 
Economics Department Working Paper Series 3
Abstract: 
Aggregate votes for incumbent parties in post-war Germany were determined by the weighted-average growth of real per capita disposable income. Each percentage point of per capita real disposable income growth sustained over the legislative term yielded approximately two percentage points of votes in Germany. No other economic variables add value or significantly perturb the coefficients of our model. However, attrition of power reduced the vote share in election years 1961, 1994 and 1998.
Subjects: 
bread and peace model
elections
vote share
real per capita disposable income growth
JEL: 
E6
H11
P16
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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