Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/50397
Authors: 
Siliverstovs, Boriss
Year of Publication: 
2011
Series/Report no.: 
KOF working papers // KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich 281
Abstract: 
This study presents a model that delivers more accurate forecasts of the revised rather initial estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings is that our model, capitalizing on the information contained in the Business Tendency Surveys, is able to predict future revisions of the initial estimates. Our findings imply that there seems to be a scope for improvement of how preliminary estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland.
Subjects: 
GDP revisions
forecasting
mixed-frequency data
factor model
JEL: 
C53
E37
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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