Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/48139 
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dc.contributor.authorBerlemann, Michaelen
dc.contributor.authorMarkwardt, Guntheren
dc.date.accessioned2011-07-13T10:44:35Z-
dc.date.available2011-07-13T10:44:35Z-
dc.date.issued2003-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/48139-
dc.description.abstractRational partisan theory of political business cycles suggests differences in inflation under left-wing and right-wing governments. It also suggests temporary post-electoral booms after election of left-wing governments and temporary recessions after election of right-wing ones. However, the core hypothesis that post-electoral booms and recessions depend upon the degree of pre-electoral uncertainty has rarely been tested. Using pre-electoral polling data, we provide empirical evidence in favor of the hypothesis of the existence of rational partisan cycles. We also show that - in line with most previous empirical studies - there is little evidence for partisan cycles under adaptive expectations.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisher|aTechnische Universität Dresden, Fakultät Wirtschaftswissenschaften |cDresdenen
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aDresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics |x01/03en
dc.subject.jelE32en
dc.subject.ddc330en
dc.subject.keywordpartisan theoryen
dc.subject.keywordpolitical business cyclesen
dc.subject.stwPolitischer Konjunkturzyklusen
dc.subject.stwWahlverhaltenen
dc.subject.stwErwartungstheorieen
dc.subject.stwSchätzungen
dc.subject.stwTheorieen
dc.subject.stwOECD-Staatenen
dc.titlePartisan cycles and pre-electoral uncertainty-
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.identifier.ppn82220164Xen
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungenen
dc.identifier.repecRePEc:zbw:tuddps:0103en

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