Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/43423
Year of Publication: 
2010
Series/Report no.: 
Economic Analysis Working Papers No. 2010,2
Publisher: 
Colegio de Economistas de A Coruña, A Coruña
Abstract: 
This paper tests the constancy and stationarity of mechanic version of the money multiplier model for Pakistan using monthly data over the period 1972M1-2009M2. We split the data into pre-liberalization (1972M1-1990M12) and post-liberalization (1991M1-2009M2) periods to examine the impact of financial sector reforms. We first examine the constancy and stationarity of the money multiplier and the results suggest the money multiplier remains non-stationary for the entire sample period and sub-periods. We then tested cointegration between money supply and monetary base and find the evidence of cointegration between two variables for the entire period and two sub-periods. The coefficient restrictions are satisfied only for the post-liberalization period. Two-way long-run causality between money supply and monetary base is found for the entire period and post-liberalization. For the post-liberalization period the evidence of short-run causality running from monetary base to money supply is also identified. On the whole, the results suggest that money multiplier model can serve as framework for conducting short-run monetary policy in Pakistan. However, the monetary authority may consider the co-movements between money supply and reserve money at the time of conducting monetary policy.
Subjects: 
Money Multiplier
Reserve Money
Monetary Policy
JEL: 
E51
E52
E58
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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