Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/37435 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2010
Series/Report no.: 
Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2010: Ökonomie der Familie - Session: Econometric Duration Models of the Labor Market No. C11-V3
Publisher: 
Verein für Socialpolitik, Frankfurt a. M.
Abstract: 
We analyze the timing of birth of the first three children based on German panel data (GSOEP) within a hazard rate framework. A random effects estimator is used to accommodate correlation across spells. We consider the role of human capital - approximated by a Mincer-type regression - and its gender-specific effects on postponement of parenthood and possible recuperation at higher-order births. An advantage of the use of panel data in this context consists in its prospective nature, so that determinants of fertility can be measured when at risk rather than ex-post, thus helping to reduce the risk of reverse causality. The analysis finds evidence for strong recuperation effects, i.e. women with greater human capital endowments follow, on average, a different birth history trajectory, but with negligible curtailment of completed fertility.
Subjects: 
fertility
human capital
event history analysis
JEL: 
J13
J24
C41
Document Type: 
Conference Paper

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