Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/35399
Authors: 
Cockx, Bart Leo Wim
Picchio, Matteo
Year of Publication: 
2009
Series/Report no.: 
IZA discussion papers 4007
Abstract: 
This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
Subjects: 
Event history model
transition data
state dependence
short-lived jobs
stepping stone effect
long-lasting jobs
JEL: 
C15
C41
J62
J64
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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