Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/338337 
Year of Publication: 
2026
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 12373
Publisher: 
Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research - CESifo GmbH, Munich
Abstract: 
Using longitudinal data from the Gallup Panel covering more than 30,000 U.S. employees surveyed from 2023 to 2025, I document heterogeneous adoption of generative AI and its "organizational transmission" within firms. First, I show that the share of active (occasional) AI users grew from 9% to 24% (10% to 23%). I subsequently document these patterns by organizational class of work, organizational hierarchy, income, industry, and occupation. Second, I show that perceived strategic clarity is the dominant correlate of frequent adoption: employees in clear-strategy organizations are roughly 26 percentage points more likely to report frequent use. Strategic clarity itself is tightly linked to managerial communication and credibility, including meaningful feedback and trust in leadership. Third, exploiting within-person variation, income-by-time controls, and a job-switcher design, I show that the relationship between AI use and worker outcomes is strongly contingent on organizational context. Frequent AI use is associated with substantially higher engagement and job satisfaction and with markedly lower burnout when organizations communicate a clear AI strategy, while these benefits are muted or reversed in low-clarity environments. These results are consistent with the predictions from a stylized theoretical model whereby workers are more likely to adopt and experiment with AI when they experience psychological safety.
Subjects: 
generative AI
technology adoption
managers
trust
communication
organizational complementarities
panel data
JEL: 
O33
M15
M54
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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