Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/33236
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dc.contributor.authorJaeger, David A.en_US
dc.contributor.authorPaserman, Marco Danieleen_US
dc.date.accessioned2006-02-02en_US
dc.date.accessioned2010-07-07T09:09:09Z-
dc.date.available2010-07-07T09:09:09Z-
dc.date.issued2005en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10419/33236-
dc.description.abstractThis paper studies the dynamics of violence in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict since the outbreak of the Second (or Al-Aqsa) Intifada in September 2000, during which more than 3,300 Palestinians and more than 1,000 Israelis have been killed. The conflict has followed an uneven pattern, with periods of high levels of violence and periods of relative calm. Using data on the number of deaths occurring each day between September 2000 and January 2005, we estimate reaction functions for both Israelis and Palestinians and find evidence of unidirectional Granger causality from Palestinian violence to Israeli violence, but not vice versa. This finding is consistent whether we look only at the incidence of fatalities or whether we look at the level of fatalities, and is robust to the specification of the lag structure and the level of time aggregation. We find little evidence that violence on either side has a direct deterrent or incapacitation effect. We do find, however, that successful assassination attempts do reduce the number of subsequent Israeli fatalities. We conclude that, despite the popular perception that Palestinians and Israelis are engaged in tit-for-tat violence, there is no evidence to support that notion.en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisher|aInstitute for the Study of Labor (IZA) |cBonnen_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries|aIZA Discussion Papers |x1808en_US
dc.subject.jelC32en_US
dc.subject.jelD71en_US
dc.subject.jelD74en_US
dc.subject.jelH56en_US
dc.subject.ddc330en_US
dc.subject.keywordIntifadaen_US
dc.subject.keywordterrorismen_US
dc.subject.keywordGranger causalityen_US
dc.subject.stwPolitische Gewalten_US
dc.subject.stwKausalanalyseen_US
dc.subject.stwSchätzungen_US
dc.subject.stwPalästinaen_US
dc.subject.stwIsraelen_US
dc.titleThe cycle of violence? An empirical analysis of fatalities in the Palestinian-Israeli conflicten_US
dc.type|aWorking Paperen_US
dc.identifier.ppn503255033en_US
dc.rightshttp://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen-

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