Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/330825 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Citation: 
[Journal:] Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics (JCRE) [ISSN:] 2749-988X [Volume:] 4 [Article No.:] 2025-4 [Year:] 2025 [Pages:] 1-30
Publisher: 
ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, Kiel, Hamburg
Abstract: 
We replicate results of Forsythe (2022) studying the cyclicality of individuals' labor market transitions conditional on their experience. Using Current Population Survey (CPS) data and state-level variations in the unemployment rate, this paper shows that the hiring probability of youths is more sensitive to business-cycle conditions than for experienced individuals. We replicate the key results in this paper by reconstructing the dataset using the IPUMS-CPS database (Flood et al. (2020)) and recoding the main regressions from scratch. We also conduct a robustness replicability analysis and show that the paper's main results are robust in terms of statistical significance to (i) extending the sample period from 1994-2014 to 1994-2019 and (ii) using metropolitan statistical area (MSA) level unemployment variation instead of state-level variation. These extensions reduce the magnitude of the main effects of interest, but the paper's key conclusions are unaffected.
Subjects: 
Worker flows
Business cycles
Life cycle
JEL: 
E24
J63
J64
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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