Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/330190 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Citation: 
[Journal:] The World Economy [ISSN:] 1467-9701 [Volume:] 48 [Issue:] 8 [Publisher:] Wiley [Place:] Hoboken, NJ [Year:] 2025 [Pages:] 1850-1862
Publisher: 
Wiley, Hoboken, NJ
Abstract: 
Recent global events have underscored the significant impact on global value chains. Incidents such as the Suez Canal blockage, supply shortages caused by the COVID‐19 pandemic and the Ukraine‐Russia war have raised concerns about potential future risks and how to measure them. Risk assessments are crucial for stakeholders throughout the supply chain and play an essential role with regard to economic welfare and sustainability, including considerations for energy transition. To assess risks in global supply chains, it is important to map these chains and quantify the potential disruptions that could occur. Our research specifically examines the risks related to the trade of intermediates used in production, factoring in risks associated with maritime transport routes. Using the automotive sectors of Germany, Japan and the United States as examples, our analysis reveals that, in many risk categories, the US automotive sector faces lower risks compared to its counterparts. The findings emphasise that supply chains inherently involve risks, which must be considered and balanced against one another. Importantly, a higher share of imports does not necessarily lead to increased risks. Therefore, reducing import shares is not always a viable strategy for risk mitigation.
Subjects: 
geopolitical risks
maritime transport
multiregional input–output‐analysis
value chains
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article
Document Version: 
Published Version

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.