Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/324958 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Citation: 
[Journal:] Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit und Kapital [ISSN:] 2199-1235 [Volume:] 57 [Issue:] 1/4 [Year:] 2024 [Pages:] 31-47
Publisher: 
Duncker & Humblot, Berlin
Abstract: 
We empirically study the perception of political uncertainty by UK's stock markets, covering the entire Brexit period from January 2013 to March 2020. We find that indices dominated by the largest capitalized companies anticipate negatively perceived events already prior to the actual event, whereas positive events only effect them on the event day or following. In contrast, the FTSE 250, composed of medium-sized companies, tends to move prior to positively perceived events. Furthermore, we investigate the daily perception of Brexit measured by a metric based on Google Trends. Our results show that perception significantly affects all major UK indices.
Subjects: 
Brexit
event study
perception
Google Trends
GJR-GARCH
United Kingdom
JEL: 
G14
G11
G39
H87
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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