Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/324032 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Citation: 
[Journal:] PSL Quarterly Review [ISSN:] 2037-3643 [Volume:] 73 [Issue:] 294 [Year:] 2020 [Pages:] 225-239
Publisher: 
Associazione Economia civile, Rome
Abstract: 
The tests carried out by Blanchard and Leigh (2013; IMF, 2012) and Fátas and Summers (2018) are extended here into a panel framework in order to assess the empirical basis of the so-called IMF "mea culpa" regarding the underestimation of Keynesian multipliers during the euro area crisis. The objections put forward by the European Central Bank, the European Commission and other authors against the "underestimation" thesis are tested and refuted. The results support the "mea culpa" and highlight that the underestimation of multipliers can concern both the short and the long term.
Subjects: 
GDP forecast errors
Keynesian multipliers
panel analysis
JEL: 
E23
E27
E62
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc-nd Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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