Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/322233 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
CEBI Working Paper Series No. 07/25
Publisher: 
University of Copenhagen, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI), Copenhagen
Abstract: 
Models of female labor supply routinely assume that women have accurate expectations about post-birth employment, but little is known about whether this assumption holds. We use a 2019 state-contingent survey of 11,000 Danish women linked to administrative data to compare pre-birth beliefs to realized outcomes. Mothers accurately anticipate long-run return to work but systematically overestimate how soon it will occur. Miscalibration stems from two belief errors-about partner leave and own labor supply-which interact and persist even among second-time mothers.
Subjects: 
Children
employment expectations
administrative data
JEL: 
D31
D84
E24
J31
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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