Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/318649 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Publisher: 
SSRN, Rochester, NY
Abstract: 
An expanding body of research documents the adverse impact of heat stress on aggregate employment outcomes, particularly in climate-exposed sectors and occupations. Yet, the role of individual-level heterogeneity-especially for what concerns ageing-remains relatively underexplored. By using Italian individual-level labor market survey data over 2004-2017, this study employs a pseudo panel research design to assess the impact of heath waves on the probability of transitioning in and out of employment for different cohort groups. While preliminary individual-level evidence indicates that heat waves significantly increase the probability of employment exit and decrease the probability of employment entry; controlling for unobservable cohort-province characteristics yields that only older cohorts show a higher probability of employment exit-while only younger ones show a lower probability of entry. These findings provide robust evidence of the vulnerability of older workers to climate-related labor market disruptions, and underscore the importance of integrating age-sensitive dimensions into labor and climate policy frameworks.
Subjects: 
heat waves
Workforce ageing
Probit model
Pseudo panel
Employment transitions
JEL: 
C51
C55
J00
Q51
Q54
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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