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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2025
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Texto para Discussão No. 3107
Verlag: 
Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (IPEA), Brasília
Zusammenfassung (übersetzt): 
The text calls attention to two structural features of the Brazilian economy, i.e., the facts that the country has built a very impressive welfare state (WS) over the years, one that looks as strong and mature as ever, and that the Brazilian Real (R$) apparently has become a "commodity-currency" over this century, meaning that it tends to appreciate when (a selected basket of) world commodity prices in US dollars go(es) up. It is argued that, although relatively neglected in the literature, both features play key roles in the functioning of the Brazilian economy both in the short and the medium runs. A formal short period model of the economy - that is compatible with and fits actual Brazilian national accounts data - is presented to make the argument clear. Insights based on the model are then used to produce plausible medium run dynamic trajectories in which commodity prices and WS institutions interact in meaningful ways.
Schlagwörter: 
welfare state
commodity-currency
Brazilian economy
commodity prices
exchange rate depreciation
JEL: 
E12
O54
F41
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
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Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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