Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/314693 
Year of Publication: 
2025
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 11654
Publisher: 
CESifo GmbH, Munich
Abstract: 
How do import tariffs affect employment? We develop an empirical strategy to identify the effects of tariffs using difference-in-differences, comparing anti-dumping (AD) investigations resulting in dumping tariffs to those not resulting in dumping tariffs. We find that an AD tariff decreases imports and increases employment in the protected sector. Moreover, downstream firms decrease employment, while upstream ones are unaffected because the protected sector sources inputs abroad. Using a model to quantify the aggregate effects, we find that the Brazilian AD policy increased employment by 0.06% at a welfare loss of 2.4%.
Subjects: 
employment
tariffs
anti-dumping
international trade
JEL: 
F13
F16
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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